French deficit to become biggest in eurozone

The outlook for the struggling French economy looked even bleaker on Tuesday when Brussels predicted the country's public deficit would become the biggest in the eurozone by 2016, due to falling investment and poor economic growth.

French deficit to become biggest in eurozone
The EU is not predicting a bright future for the French economy. Photo: Sebastian Fuss/flickr

The European Commission predicted on Tuesday that the French public deficit will outgrow all others in the eurozone by 2016 in another blow to President François Hollande’s hopes of reviving confidence in his country’s economy.

The Commission presented bleak figures for France, forecasting the deficit would hit 4.5 per cent by 2015 and 4.7 per cent in 2016 with growth peaking at just 0.7 per cent next year and 1.5 per cent in 2016.

The reason for the miserable numbers was, in the Commission’s words, due “in large part to the still modest growth as well as new measures such as the rise in employment tax (CICE) and reductions in taxes for worse-off households.”

France had already annoyed the European Commission by admitting that it would not meet a 2015 target to reduce its deficit – the shortfall between government revenue and spending.

In its 2015 budget, which was voted through parliament last month, the government included €21 billion of cuts but refused to implement the kind of crippling austerity measures seen in Spain and Greece.

The Commission – the European Union's executive arm – gained far-reaching powers during the debt crisis to vet the 18 eurozone members' state budget plans to ensure they do not exceed a deficit ceiling of 3.0 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP).

France, however, had forecast a deficit of 4.3 per cent for 2015 and 3.8 per cent by the end of 2016, saying it would now reach the EU's target of 3 per cent by 2017.

After a dispute with the Commission over its 2015 budget France announced a series of supplementary measures to pacify Brussels and to avoid the humiliation of its 2015 budget being rejected outright.

French Finance Minister Michel Sapin said he had managed to find €3.6 billion ($4.6 billion) to reduce the deficit.

That, along with other steps, meant France should now be able "to stay the course," Sapin said.

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Paris, Berlin agree on future eurozone budget: French ministry source

France and Germany have agreed on the broad outlines of a proposed eurozone budget which they will present to EU finance ministers in Brussels on Monday, a French finance ministry source said.

Paris, Berlin agree on future eurozone budget: French ministry source
French Economy and Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire (R) and German Finance Minister and Vice-Chancellor Olaf Scholz. File photo: AFP

The common single-currency budget was one of French President Emmanuel Macron's key ideas for protecting the euro, but it caused differences between France and Germany, the region's two largest economies.

French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire and Germany's minister, Olaf Scholz, will “jointly present a proposition on Monday… about the layout for a budget for the eurozone,” the ministry source told AFP.

“It's a major step forward,” the source said. “We will look forward to sharing with other members.”

The source said the amount of the budget has not been established as the proposal was to first set out the “architecture and main principles” of the budget.

According to a copy of the French-German proposal, the budget would be part of the EU budget structure and governed by the 19 euro members.

Macron will travel to Berlin at the weekend to meet with German Chancellor Angela Merkel where the two leaders will bolster their alliance as champions of a united Europe.

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