Published: 21 Dec 2012 09:22 GMT+01:00 | Print version
Updated: 21 Dec 2012 09:22 GMT+01:00
The French national statistics agency INSEE said Thursday it expects the country's economy to contract by 0.2 percent in the final quarter of this year and the unemployment rate to jump above 10 percent.
INSEE also lowered its forecast for overall growth in 2012 to 0.1 percent from 0.2 percent, further below the 0.3 percent on which the government has based its spending plans.
The Bank of France forecasts the French economy will contract by 0.1 percent in the final quarter of this year.
While France's economy posted 0.2 percent growth in the third quarter based on a 1.0 percent jump in manufacturing, INSEE expects a reversal in the final months of this year.
"Activity should thus fall in Q4 2012 (-0.2%), notably because manufacturing production is set to fall back distinctly (-1.5%)," INSEE said in its December forecasting report.
The agency expects the French economy to pick up in 2013, but only modestly with 0.1 percent growth in the first and second quarters.
But INSEE also expects unemployment to keep on climbing, with the economy shedding 40,000 jobs each quarter.
It sees the unemployment rate in mainland France rising to 10.1 percent in the final quarter of this year from 9.9 percent in the period from July to September.
INSEE expects it to rise to 10.5 percent in mid-2013.
The INSEE forecasts also undermine the government's forecast of 0.8 percent growth in 2013, on which is pinned its pledge to the EU to cut the public deficit back to the 3.0 percent of GDP limit from 4.5 percent.
INSEE head of forecasting Cedric Audenis said if their forecast of 0.1 percent growth in the first and second quarters held then the French economy would have to grow by 1.0 percent in the final two quarters to achieve the government's 0.8 percent growth target.
Failure to hit the target could force the government to make more spending cuts and raise more in taxes.
When it comes to fighting off the invasion of English words the French Resistance has had mixed fortunes over the years. Nevertheless the fight goes on. With the help of the Ministry of Culture here's a list of the latest English terms that French authorities want deported. READ () »
The streets of Paris are getting a reputation for being unsafe for tourists and this is a threat to business for the great brand names of French fashion, a top body representing the luxury industry warned on Friday. READ () »
Rights watchdog Amnesty International has filed its end of year report on French President François Hollande's record on tackling human rights issues. Its conclusion was: Could do better. READ () »
The dangerous craze of ‘train surfing', which has long been popular in Russia, came to France this week and ended in tragic circumstances. A young man who was reportedly riding the roof of a Paris Metro was killed when the train entered a tunnel. READ () »
The purchase of the famous upmarket French department store Printemps by investors from Qatar needs to be investigated by authorities for possible corruption, money laundering and tax fraud, unions demanded this week. READ () »
The proposal was labelled by critics as another example of France's Socialist government attacking the richest. But after a u-turn announced on Friday the plan to limit executive pay in the private sector will not now see the light of day. READ () »
It could easily be the script of a grisly horror movie. Police arrested a man in Nice this week, suspected of chopping up his 95-year-old grandmother. According to sources the suspect admitted to having eaten part of the body. READ () »
IMF chief Christine Lagarde is spending a second day being questioned by French prosecutors on Friday as part of a probe into a €400 million state payout to disgrace businessman Bernard Tapie. If Lagarde is charged she could be forced to quit the IMF. READ () »
At least 20 people were killed and several trainee officers taken hostage when Islamist militants carried out twin bombings on a French-run nuclear plant in Niger. The attack was claimed by the group Movement for Oneness and Jihad in West Africa (MUJAO). READ () »
Not everyone gets the chance to party with the stars at the Cannes festival for two days, unless that is, you are the French double of 'Gangnam style' entertainer Psy and you have the nerves of steel to pretend to be him. Meet Denis Carre our undisputed French Face of the Week. READ () »
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
More news from Sweden at thelocal.se
More news from Germany at thelocal.de
More news from Switzerland at thelocal.ch
Your comments about this article:
The comments below have not been moderated in advance and are not produced by The Local unless clearly stated. Readers are responsible for the content of their own comments. Comments that breach our terms and conditions will be removed.