Published: 25 May 2012 06:03 GMT+02:00 | Print version
Updated: 25 May 2012 06:03 GMT+02:00
International ratings agency Moody's affirmed its top AAA rating for France on Thursday but said it would watch closely the policies of new President Francois Hollande who favours growth above austerity.
Moody's said it maintained France's top rating but kept the outlook at 'negative', noting that while Hollande insists growth must come first, he has not made clear how he will implement his campaign pledges at a time of great eurozone strains.
The agency, one of the top three world credit assessors, said among France's strengths were a large, diversified economy; robust institutions and competent administration; strong social cohesion; sound and innovative debt management and important reforms, especially in the public sector and the pension system.
On the negative side, the country faced high government expenditure; a relatively large government deficit and debt plus its exposure to potential new contingent liabilities arising from a further deterioration in the eurozone debt crisis.
It noted that socialist Hollande won office earlier this month on a platform of growth first above austerity but "the path to a robust economic recovery is not yet clear and remains an uncertain variable in France's debt equation."
Hollande's medium-term fiscal consolidation and economic growth objectives are quite similar to those of former president Nicolas Sarkozy, Moody's said, with the new president's programme requiring some €100 billion ($1.25 billion) in savings or five percent of Gross Domestic Product.
The target of balancing the accounts by 2017 is "unprecedented in France and reflects the government's challenge to catch up and ensure the medium- and long-term sustainability of public finances."
"It is not clear yet how precisely this reduction in the growth rate of public spending is going to be achieved, given that the new administration is aiming to stabilise the size of France's public sector, in contrast to the outgoing government which targeted reductions in the number of civil servants."
Hollande's "strong commitment to the achievement of sustainable public finances is credit-positive (but) we believe that the overall level of uncertainty regarding the government's ability to achieve its fiscal consolidation and growth targets remains unchanged."
Moody's said it expected the picture to become clearer in the second half of the year.
In January, Standard and Poor's cut its top AAA rating on France by one notch to AA+, with a negative outlook, citing the strains caused by the eurozone debt crisis.
After flood waters devastated the Catholic shrine at Lourdes in south west France this week, the mayor says his town is facing 'economic disaster,' while bosses at the pilgrimage site admit it may never recover from the 'catastrophe'. READ () »
France's national data protection agency on Thursday threatened to hit Google with a fine of up to €150,000, unless the US internet giant brought its privacy policies in line with French law within three months. READ () »
French authorities bidding to crack down on school test cheats obviously didn’t count on a 52-year-old woman "in elaborate make up" turning up to take an important high school English exam in Paris this week in place of her 19-year-old daughter. READ () »
Weather warnings remained in place across much of France on Thursday as unseasonal violent storms continued to wreak havoc in many regions. The storms have now claimed the lives of three people. Read the latest weather updates here. READ () »
Seventeen years after 230 passengers died on board a Paris bound flight from New York, six former investigators want the probe reopened, claiming the aircraft was brought down by an external explosion. A documentary will air in the US next month. READ () »
A decision by an EU parliament committee on Wednesday increased the prospect of France's far right leader, Marine le Pen, facing prosecution for previous remarks she made likening Islamic prayers to the Nazi occupation READ () »
For months the people of the tiny seaside hamlet of Larmor-Baden in Brittany have been living in fear as a serial arsonist has burned down properties at will. On Wednesday French police appeared to have made a breakthrough. READ () »
Flash floods in south west France claimed their second victim on Wednesday when a 75-year-old man was swept away to his death in the raging waters. The flooded Catholic shrine of Lourdes was like 'a scene from a disaster movie' according to one hotel owner. READ () »
As temperatures rise and the rains continue to fall, concerns in France have turned to the country’s surging mosquito population. A new interactive map looks set to give residents and holiday-makers a head start in avoiding those nasty mossie bites. READ () »
A reptile enthusiast died after being bitten by a viper during a demonstration in southern France, which was aimed to help audiences overcome their fear of snakes. The man died from a heart attack due to a rare allergy, his colleague told The Local. READ () »
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